Statistical Significance of the observed warming trend tested against 3 computer model assessments of natural variability. Figure 8.3, p423, Working Group 1 report, IPCC Second Assessment
Except for the last decade, for all other periods the solid line of observed global mean temperature trend is above the 95 percentile line of natural variability as determined by 3 computer models. SAR page423.
Statistical Significance of the observed warming trend tested against 3 computer model assessments of natural variability. Figure 8.3, p423, Working Group 1 report, IPCC Second Assessment